Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, with 88.5% implied probability, driven by the latest KNMI forecast projecting maxima around 12°C amid half-to-heavily overcast skies, scattered showers (80% chance, 2-5 mm totals), and moderate northwest winds (force 3) advecting cool maritime air from the North Sea. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation to about 30% possible sunshine, well below May's climatological average high of 16-18°C. Recent model runs from KNMI's HIRLAM system and ensembles align on subdued peaks following yesterday's 13°C, reflecting a persistent low-pressure trough. While unexpected clearing could nudge toward 12°C (12.5% odds), hourly observations at Schiphol Airport—key for resolution—will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
11°C 91%
12°C 9%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$40,543 Vol.
$40,543 Vol.
15 mai 2026
11°C
91%
12°C
9%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 91%
12°C 9%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$40,543 Vol.
$40,543 Vol.
15 mai 2026
11°C
$6,099 Vol.
91%
12°C
$5,912 Vol.
9%
13°C
$3,797 Vol.
1%
14°C
$2,212 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,507 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,647 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$2,195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, with 88.5% implied probability, driven by the latest KNMI forecast projecting maxima around 12°C amid half-to-heavily overcast skies, scattered showers (80% chance, 2-5 mm totals), and moderate northwest winds (force 3) advecting cool maritime air from the North Sea. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation to about 30% possible sunshine, well below May's climatological average high of 16-18°C. Recent model runs from KNMI's HIRLAM system and ensembles align on subdued peaks following yesterday's 13°C, reflecting a persistent low-pressure trough. While unexpected clearing could nudge toward 12°C (12.5% odds), hourly observations at Schiphol Airport—key for resolution—will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volume
$40,543Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, with 88.5% implied probability, driven by the latest KNMI forecast projecting maxima around 12°C amid half-to-heavily overcast skies, scattered showers (80% chance, 2-5 mm totals), and moderate northwest winds (force 3) advecting cool maritime air from the North Sea. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation to about 30% possible sunshine, well below May's climatological average high of 16-18°C. Recent model runs from KNMI's HIRLAM system and ensembles align on subdued peaks following yesterday's 13°C, reflecting a persistent low-pressure trough. While unexpected clearing could nudge toward 12°C (12.5% odds), hourly observations at Schiphol Airport—key for resolution—will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,543Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, with 88.5% implied probability, driven by the latest KNMI forecast projecting maxima around 12°C amid half-to-heavily overcast skies, scattered showers (80% chance, 2-5 mm totals), and moderate northwest winds (force 3) advecting cool maritime air from the North Sea. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation to about 30% possible sunshine, well below May's climatological average high of 16-18°C. Recent model runs from KNMI's HIRLAM system and ensembles align on subdued peaks following yesterday's 13°C, reflecting a persistent low-pressure trough. While unexpected clearing could nudge toward 12°C (12.5% odds), hourly observations at Schiphol Airport—key for resolution—will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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