Latest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on an afternoon peak of 20–22 °C at Istanbul Airport under stable high-pressure ridging, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. This range aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average near 21 °C, moderated by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea breezes. Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty around these values, as minor afternoon clearing could push readings to 22–23 °C while lingering low stratus would cap them at 19–20 °C. Hourly observations and the final model update tomorrow morning will determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 17 de maio?
21°C 29%
20°C 21%
22°C 20%
19°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
14%
20°C
21%
21°C
29%
22°C
20%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
4%
21°C 29%
20°C 21%
22°C 20%
19°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
14°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$345 Vol.
1%
17°C
$521 Vol.
1%
18°C
$656 Vol.
3%
19°C
$282 Vol.
14%
20°C
$233 Vol.
21%
21°C
$52 Vol.
29%
22°C
$289 Vol.
20%
23°C
$787 Vol.
6%
24°C or higher
$537 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on an afternoon peak of 20–22 °C at Istanbul Airport under stable high-pressure ridging, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. This range aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average near 21 °C, moderated by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea breezes. Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty around these values, as minor afternoon clearing could push readings to 22–23 °C while lingering low stratus would cap them at 19–20 °C. Hourly observations and the final model update tomorrow morning will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,980Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on an afternoon peak of 20–22 °C at Istanbul Airport under stable high-pressure ridging, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. This range aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average near 21 °C, moderated by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea breezes. Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty around these values, as minor afternoon clearing could push readings to 22–23 °C while lingering low stratus would cap them at 19–20 °C. Hourly observations and the final model update tomorrow morning will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,980Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on an afternoon peak of 20–22 °C at Istanbul Airport under stable high-pressure ridging, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. This range aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average near 21 °C, moderated by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea breezes. Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty around these values, as minor afternoon clearing could push readings to 22–23 °C while lingering low stratus would cap them at 19–20 °C. Hourly observations and the final model update tomorrow morning will determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions