Latest model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System projects Istanbul’s official high today reaching 25–27 °C at the primary monitoring station, driven by a southerly flow of warmer continental air and reduced cloud cover that allows stronger solar heating. This has shifted trader sentiment toward the 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 67 % implied probability, well above the mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus remains a key variable that could cap the peak one to two degrees lower, yet current ensemble spreads show limited support for that scenario. Hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the final data before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
25°C or higher 68%
24°C 21%
23°C 8%
22°C 1.4%
$13,915 Vol.
$13,915 Vol.
16 mai 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
68%
25°C or higher 68%
24°C 21%
23°C 8%
22°C 1.4%
$13,915 Vol.
$13,915 Vol.
16 mai 2026
18°C
$1,413 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,908 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,658 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,810 Vol.
1%
23°C
$867 Vol.
8%
24°C
$784 Vol.
21%
25°C or higher
$1,184 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System projects Istanbul’s official high today reaching 25–27 °C at the primary monitoring station, driven by a southerly flow of warmer continental air and reduced cloud cover that allows stronger solar heating. This has shifted trader sentiment toward the 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 67 % implied probability, well above the mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus remains a key variable that could cap the peak one to two degrees lower, yet current ensemble spreads show limited support for that scenario. Hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$13,915Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System projects Istanbul’s official high today reaching 25–27 °C at the primary monitoring station, driven by a southerly flow of warmer continental air and reduced cloud cover that allows stronger solar heating. This has shifted trader sentiment toward the 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 67 % implied probability, well above the mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus remains a key variable that could cap the peak one to two degrees lower, yet current ensemble spreads show limited support for that scenario. Hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,915Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Latest model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System projects Istanbul’s official high today reaching 25–27 °C at the primary monitoring station, driven by a southerly flow of warmer continental air and reduced cloud cover that allows stronger solar heating. This has shifted trader sentiment toward the 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 67 % implied probability, well above the mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus remains a key variable that could cap the peak one to two degrees lower, yet current ensemble spreads show limited support for that scenario. Hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the final data before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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