Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a modest daytime peak near 27–28 °C on May 18, driven by an influx of moist air from the South China Sea that is expected to produce patchy cloud cover and isolated showers. These conditions reduce solar heating compared with the clearer, ridge-dominated pattern that pushed recent daily highs into the low 30s. Historical May climatology for Guangzhou shows average maxima around 29–30 °C, but current model consensus favors slightly cooler outcomes because of elevated humidity and reduced insolation. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the Baiyun station, with traders closely watching the next model runs for any shift in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter the range between 26 °C and 29 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 18 de maio?
28°C 28%
27°C 25%
26°C 17%
29°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
17%
27°C
25%
28°C
28%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C ou mais
1%
28°C 28%
27°C 25%
26°C 17%
29°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
22°C ou menos
$120 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
17%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$1 Vol.
17%
31°C
$17 Vol.
3%
32°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a modest daytime peak near 27–28 °C on May 18, driven by an influx of moist air from the South China Sea that is expected to produce patchy cloud cover and isolated showers. These conditions reduce solar heating compared with the clearer, ridge-dominated pattern that pushed recent daily highs into the low 30s. Historical May climatology for Guangzhou shows average maxima around 29–30 °C, but current model consensus favors slightly cooler outcomes because of elevated humidity and reduced insolation. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the Baiyun station, with traders closely watching the next model runs for any shift in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter the range between 26 °C and 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$148Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a modest daytime peak near 27–28 °C on May 18, driven by an influx of moist air from the South China Sea that is expected to produce patchy cloud cover and isolated showers. These conditions reduce solar heating compared with the clearer, ridge-dominated pattern that pushed recent daily highs into the low 30s. Historical May climatology for Guangzhou shows average maxima around 29–30 °C, but current model consensus favors slightly cooler outcomes because of elevated humidity and reduced insolation. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the Baiyun station, with traders closely watching the next model runs for any shift in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter the range between 26 °C and 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$148Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGLatest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a modest daytime peak near 27–28 °C on May 18, driven by an influx of moist air from the South China Sea that is expected to produce patchy cloud cover and isolated showers. These conditions reduce solar heating compared with the clearer, ridge-dominated pattern that pushed recent daily highs into the low 30s. Historical May climatology for Guangzhou shows average maxima around 29–30 °C, but current model consensus favors slightly cooler outcomes because of elevated humidity and reduced insolation. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the Baiyun station, with traders closely watching the next model runs for any shift in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter the range between 26 °C and 29 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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