South African Weather Service model ensembles currently project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Cape Town on May 18 under typical autumn southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, with light to moderate winds limiting rapid warming. This places the market’s leading 20°C and 21°C outcomes in near parity because afternoon cloud cover variability—common in the post-frontal regime—can suppress solar heating by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push peaks slightly higher. Historical May maxima at Cape Town International Airport average 17–20°C, providing context for the narrow 19–22°C spread in trader-implied odds. Final resolution hinges on intraday observations from official stations, with any unexpected clearing or strengthening onshore breeze able to shift the exact threshold within the 48-hour window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 18 de maio?
21°C 30%
20°C 23%
22°C 18%
19°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
15%
20°C
23%
21°C
30%
22°C
18%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C ou mais
1%
21°C 30%
20°C 23%
22°C 18%
19°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
15°C ou menos
$120 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
7%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
30%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$2 Vol.
7%
24°C
$53 Vol.
5%
25°C ou mais
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.South African Weather Service model ensembles currently project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Cape Town on May 18 under typical autumn southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, with light to moderate winds limiting rapid warming. This places the market’s leading 20°C and 21°C outcomes in near parity because afternoon cloud cover variability—common in the post-frontal regime—can suppress solar heating by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push peaks slightly higher. Historical May maxima at Cape Town International Airport average 17–20°C, providing context for the narrow 19–22°C spread in trader-implied odds. Final resolution hinges on intraday observations from official stations, with any unexpected clearing or strengthening onshore breeze able to shift the exact threshold within the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$220Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.South African Weather Service model ensembles currently project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Cape Town on May 18 under typical autumn southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, with light to moderate winds limiting rapid warming. This places the market’s leading 20°C and 21°C outcomes in near parity because afternoon cloud cover variability—common in the post-frontal regime—can suppress solar heating by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push peaks slightly higher. Historical May maxima at Cape Town International Airport average 17–20°C, providing context for the narrow 19–22°C spread in trader-implied odds. Final resolution hinges on intraday observations from official stations, with any unexpected clearing or strengthening onshore breeze able to shift the exact threshold within the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$220Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTSouth African Weather Service model ensembles currently project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Cape Town on May 18 under typical autumn southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, with light to moderate winds limiting rapid warming. This places the market’s leading 20°C and 21°C outcomes in near parity because afternoon cloud cover variability—common in the post-frontal regime—can suppress solar heating by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push peaks slightly higher. Historical May maxima at Cape Town International Airport average 17–20°C, providing context for the narrow 19–22°C spread in trader-implied odds. Final resolution hinges on intraday observations from official stations, with any unexpected clearing or strengthening onshore breeze able to shift the exact threshold within the 48-hour window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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