Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a maximum of 21°C for Cape Town on May 16 under stable high-pressure conditions and light onshore flow from the cool Benguela Current. This alignment with seasonal autumn norms—where daily highs typically range 19–22°C—has concentrated trader consensus on 21°C at 56.5% implied probability, with 22°C and 20°C trailing at 21.5% and 20.0%. Minor model spreads in wind speed and cloud cover leave limited room for upward or downward shifts, while historical data show extremes outside this narrow band occur infrequently in mid-May without strong frontal systems.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
21°C 56%
22°C 22%
20°C 21%
19°C 6.6%
$11,947 Vol.
$11,947 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
21%
21°C
56%
22°C
22%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 56%
22°C 22%
20°C 21%
19°C 6.6%
$11,947 Vol.
$11,947 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
21%
21°C
56%
22°C
22%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a maximum of 21°C for Cape Town on May 16 under stable high-pressure conditions and light onshore flow from the cool Benguela Current. This alignment with seasonal autumn norms—where daily highs typically range 19–22°C—has concentrated trader consensus on 21°C at 56.5% implied probability, with 22°C and 20°C trailing at 21.5% and 20.0%. Minor model spreads in wind speed and cloud cover leave limited room for upward or downward shifts, while historical data show extremes outside this narrow band occur infrequently in mid-May without strong frontal systems.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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