Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF models place Shanghai’s maximum temperature at 26°C on May 16 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions, with moderate humidity and light easterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 24°C at Pudong International Airport and typical mid-May climatology for the region, where sea-breeze moderation often caps peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing around 26°C reflects tight model agreement, yet a sudden wind shift or reduced cloud cover could allow brief spikes toward 27°C before resolution on official station data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$158,876 Vol.
$158,876 Vol.
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$158,876 Vol.
$158,876 Vol.
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF models place Shanghai’s maximum temperature at 26°C on May 16 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions, with moderate humidity and light easterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 24°C at Pudong International Airport and typical mid-May climatology for the region, where sea-breeze moderation often caps peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing around 26°C reflects tight model agreement, yet a sudden wind shift or reduced cloud cover could allow brief spikes toward 27°C before resolution on official station data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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