Recent ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show Shanghai’s May 18 maximum centered near 27°C under a weakening high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming without strong advection. This places 26°C and 27°C as the tightly contested leading outcomes, each carrying 29.5% implied probability, while the 22.5% on 28°C reflects residual model spread from potential afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger sea-breeze cooling. Mid-May climatology for the city yields daily highs of 25–27°C on average, so the current distribution remains anchored to historical baselines rather than anomalous heat. Final resolution will hinge on official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with the last major forecast update expected within 24 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 18 de maio?
26°C 30%
27°C 29%
28°C 23%
29°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C
30%
27°C
29%
28°C
23%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 30%
27°C 29%
28°C 23%
29°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
21°C or below
$95 Vol.
1%
22°C
$65 Vol.
1%
23°C
$40 Vol.
4%
24°C
$16 Vol.
7%
25°C
$138 Vol.
6%
26°C
$89 Vol.
30%
27°C
$40 Vol.
29%
28°C
$36 Vol.
23%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$13 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$34 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show Shanghai’s May 18 maximum centered near 27°C under a weakening high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming without strong advection. This places 26°C and 27°C as the tightly contested leading outcomes, each carrying 29.5% implied probability, while the 22.5% on 28°C reflects residual model spread from potential afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger sea-breeze cooling. Mid-May climatology for the city yields daily highs of 25–27°C on average, so the current distribution remains anchored to historical baselines rather than anomalous heat. Final resolution will hinge on official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with the last major forecast update expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$566Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show Shanghai’s May 18 maximum centered near 27°C under a weakening high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming without strong advection. This places 26°C and 27°C as the tightly contested leading outcomes, each carrying 29.5% implied probability, while the 22.5% on 28°C reflects residual model spread from potential afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger sea-breeze cooling. Mid-May climatology for the city yields daily highs of 25–27°C on average, so the current distribution remains anchored to historical baselines rather than anomalous heat. Final resolution will hinge on official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with the last major forecast update expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$566Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDRecent ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show Shanghai’s May 18 maximum centered near 27°C under a weakening high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming without strong advection. This places 26°C and 27°C as the tightly contested leading outcomes, each carrying 29.5% implied probability, while the 22.5% on 28°C reflects residual model spread from potential afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger sea-breeze cooling. Mid-May climatology for the city yields daily highs of 25–27°C on average, so the current distribution remains anchored to historical baselines rather than anomalous heat. Final resolution will hinge on official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with the last major forecast update expected within 24 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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