Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 18 between 15 °C and 18 °C, with 16 °C and 17 °C holding the tightest implied probabilities because a stable high-pressure ridge is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest northerly flow. This pattern produces typical mid-autumn maxima near the long-term 17 °C climatological value, yet small differences in predicted low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by one degree either way. New model cycles over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread as surface observations and upper-air data refine the solution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 18 de maio?
17°C 27%
16°C 25%
15°C 22%
18°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
22%
16°C
25%
17°C
27%
18°C
19%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
17°C 27%
16°C 25%
15°C 22%
18°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
10°C or below
$282 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$86 Vol.
1%
13°C
$55 Vol.
1%
14°C
$79 Vol.
6%
15°C
$152 Vol.
22%
16°C
$238 Vol.
25%
17°C
$62 Vol.
27%
18°C
$163 Vol.
19%
19°C
$179 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$36 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 18 between 15 °C and 18 °C, with 16 °C and 17 °C holding the tightest implied probabilities because a stable high-pressure ridge is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest northerly flow. This pattern produces typical mid-autumn maxima near the long-term 17 °C climatological value, yet small differences in predicted low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by one degree either way. New model cycles over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread as surface observations and upper-air data refine the solution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,429Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 18 between 15 °C and 18 °C, with 16 °C and 17 °C holding the tightest implied probabilities because a stable high-pressure ridge is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest northerly flow. This pattern produces typical mid-autumn maxima near the long-term 17 °C climatological value, yet small differences in predicted low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by one degree either way. New model cycles over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread as surface observations and upper-air data refine the solution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,429Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZCurrent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 18 between 15 °C and 18 °C, with 16 °C and 17 °C holding the tightest implied probabilities because a stable high-pressure ridge is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest northerly flow. This pattern produces typical mid-autumn maxima near the long-term 17 °C climatological value, yet small differences in predicted low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by one degree either way. New model cycles over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread as surface observations and upper-air data refine the solution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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