Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance for the Pacific Northwest shows a building ridge of high pressure that is expected to limit marine-layer cooling and support daytime highs well into the upper 50s or higher across Seattle on May 18. This atmospheric setup has produced the market-implied odds exceeding 98 percent for a daily maximum of 58 °F or above, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when average highs reach the mid-60s. Model consensus remains strong, though traders continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments from updated runs that could introduce greater onshore flow. Final resolution will depend on official observations recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 18 de maio?
58°F ou mais 99.4%
56-57°F 1.2%
54-55°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
39°F ou menos
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F ou mais
99%
58°F ou mais 99.4%
56-57°F 1.2%
54-55°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
39°F ou menos
$470 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$360 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$460 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$460 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$360 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$360 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$460 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$425 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$360 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$523 Vol.
1%
58°F ou mais
$478 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance for the Pacific Northwest shows a building ridge of high pressure that is expected to limit marine-layer cooling and support daytime highs well into the upper 50s or higher across Seattle on May 18. This atmospheric setup has produced the market-implied odds exceeding 98 percent for a daily maximum of 58 °F or above, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when average highs reach the mid-60s. Model consensus remains strong, though traders continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments from updated runs that could introduce greater onshore flow. Final resolution will depend on official observations recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,718Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance for the Pacific Northwest shows a building ridge of high pressure that is expected to limit marine-layer cooling and support daytime highs well into the upper 50s or higher across Seattle on May 18. This atmospheric setup has produced the market-implied odds exceeding 98 percent for a daily maximum of 58 °F or above, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when average highs reach the mid-60s. Model consensus remains strong, though traders continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments from updated runs that could introduce greater onshore flow. Final resolution will depend on official observations recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,718Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEARecent National Weather Service forecast guidance for the Pacific Northwest shows a building ridge of high pressure that is expected to limit marine-layer cooling and support daytime highs well into the upper 50s or higher across Seattle on May 18. This atmospheric setup has produced the market-implied odds exceeding 98 percent for a daily maximum of 58 °F or above, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when average highs reach the mid-60s. Model consensus remains strong, though traders continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments from updated runs that could introduce greater onshore flow. Final resolution will depend on official observations recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions