Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a daytime high of 62–63 °F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 17, aligning with the market’s leading outcome. This range reflects the current synoptic pattern of moderate onshore flow from the Pacific, which limits afternoon warming in Seattle’s maritime climate zone. Mid-May climatology for the region centers on upper-50s to low-60s highs, and model consensus has held steady without strong warm or cold advection in the latest runs. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 62–63 °F while still pricing meaningful odds for 60–61 °F or 64 °F-plus, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical for this time of year. The official high recorded at KSEA will determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 17 de maio?
62-63°F 36%
60-61°F 27%
18°C ou mais 26%
58-59°F 8%
45°F ou menos
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
36%
18°C ou mais
26%
62-63°F 36%
60-61°F 27%
18°C ou mais 26%
58-59°F 8%
45°F ou menos
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
36%
18°C ou mais
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEALatest National Weather Service guidance points to a daytime high of 62–63 °F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 17, aligning with the market’s leading outcome. This range reflects the current synoptic pattern of moderate onshore flow from the Pacific, which limits afternoon warming in Seattle’s maritime climate zone. Mid-May climatology for the region centers on upper-50s to low-60s highs, and model consensus has held steady without strong warm or cold advection in the latest runs. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 62–63 °F while still pricing meaningful odds for 60–61 °F or 64 °F-plus, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical for this time of year. The official high recorded at KSEA will determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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