Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecast models converging on a high temperature of 53-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for May 16, driven by a recent cold front ushering southwesterly onshore flow that advects cool, moist marine air and scattered showers. After record highs near 82°F on May 12, this unseasonably cool pattern—well below the May average of 66°F—has clustered implied probabilities tightly around 52-57°F, with 54-55°F edging ahead at 36.5% over 52-53°F at 29%. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing, precipitation timing suppressing peak heating by 2-3°F, and gusty winds limiting surface warming; expect refined odds from afternoon NWS updates as observations confirm boundary layer conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 16 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 16 de maio?
54-55°F 37%
52-53°F 29%
56-57°F 18%
58-59°F 8%
NOVO
$18,985 Vol.
NOVO
$18,985 Vol.
16 mai 2026
47°F ou menos
<1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
29%
54-55°F
37%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F ou mais
<1%
54-55°F 37%
52-53°F 29%
56-57°F 18%
58-59°F 8%
NOVO
$18,985 Vol.
NOVO
$18,985 Vol.
16 mai 2026
47°F ou menos
$6,468 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$440 Vol.
3%
50-51°F
$2,035 Vol.
8%
52-53°F
$1,095 Vol.
29%
54-55°F
$509 Vol.
37%
56-57°F
$1,188 Vol.
18%
58-59°F
$710 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$3,718 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,015 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$785 Vol.
<1%
66°F ou mais
$1,021 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecast models converging on a high temperature of 53-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for May 16, driven by a recent cold front ushering southwesterly onshore flow that advects cool, moist marine air and scattered showers. After record highs near 82°F on May 12, this unseasonably cool pattern—well below the May average of 66°F—has clustered implied probabilities tightly around 52-57°F, with 54-55°F edging ahead at 36.5% over 52-53°F at 29%. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing, precipitation timing suppressing peak heating by 2-3°F, and gusty winds limiting surface warming; expect refined odds from afternoon NWS updates as observations confirm boundary layer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$18,985Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecast models converging on a high temperature of 53-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for May 16, driven by a recent cold front ushering southwesterly onshore flow that advects cool, moist marine air and scattered showers. After record highs near 82°F on May 12, this unseasonably cool pattern—well below the May average of 66°F—has clustered implied probabilities tightly around 52-57°F, with 54-55°F edging ahead at 36.5% over 52-53°F at 29%. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing, precipitation timing suppressing peak heating by 2-3°F, and gusty winds limiting surface warming; expect refined odds from afternoon NWS updates as observations confirm boundary layer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,985Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecast models converging on a high temperature of 53-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for May 16, driven by a recent cold front ushering southwesterly onshore flow that advects cool, moist marine air and scattered showers. After record highs near 82°F on May 12, this unseasonably cool pattern—well below the May average of 66°F—has clustered implied probabilities tightly around 52-57°F, with 54-55°F edging ahead at 36.5% over 52-53°F at 29%. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing, precipitation timing suppressing peak heating by 2-3°F, and gusty winds limiting surface warming; expect refined odds from afternoon NWS updates as observations confirm boundary layer conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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