Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate Seoul’s May 18 maximum will likely reach 25–27 °C under clear skies, light westerly flow, and continued southerly warm-air advection ahead of a modest trough. This setup, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C, underpins traders’ 64 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher while leaving modest room for the 24 °C and 23 °C outcomes if a brief marine layer or timing shift occurs. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from the KMA and ECMWF, will determine whether the ridge strengthens or weakens before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 18 de maio?
25°C or higher 63%
24°C 19%
23°C 10%
22°C 5%
NOVO
$14,646 Vol.
NOVO
$14,646 Vol.
18 mai 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
63%
25°C or higher 63%
24°C 19%
23°C 10%
22°C 5%
NOVO
$14,646 Vol.
NOVO
$14,646 Vol.
18 mai 2026
15°C or below
$732 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,231 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,199 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,435 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,498 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,093 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,060 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,057 Vol.
5%
23°C
$827 Vol.
10%
24°C
$577 Vol.
19%
25°C or higher
$970 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate Seoul’s May 18 maximum will likely reach 25–27 °C under clear skies, light westerly flow, and continued southerly warm-air advection ahead of a modest trough. This setup, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C, underpins traders’ 64 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher while leaving modest room for the 24 °C and 23 °C outcomes if a brief marine layer or timing shift occurs. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from the KMA and ECMWF, will determine whether the ridge strengthens or weakens before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$14,646Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate Seoul’s May 18 maximum will likely reach 25–27 °C under clear skies, light westerly flow, and continued southerly warm-air advection ahead of a modest trough. This setup, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C, underpins traders’ 64 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher while leaving modest room for the 24 °C and 23 °C outcomes if a brief marine layer or timing shift occurs. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from the KMA and ECMWF, will determine whether the ridge strengthens or weakens before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,646Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate Seoul’s May 18 maximum will likely reach 25–27 °C under clear skies, light westerly flow, and continued southerly warm-air advection ahead of a modest trough. This setup, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24 °C, underpins traders’ 64 % implied probability for 25 °C or higher while leaving modest room for the 24 °C and 23 °C outcomes if a brief marine layer or timing shift occurs. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from the KMA and ECMWF, will determine whether the ridge strengthens or weakens before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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