Current forecast models from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 16 clustering around 20–21 °C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes southerly flow and intermittent sunshine. This setup has lifted implied probabilities for 21 °C to 36.5 % and 22 °C to 22.4 %, while 20 °C holds 19.0 %. Recent days’ highs near 18 °C and lingering spring cloudiness explain why traders assign lower weight to outcomes above 23 °C. Mid-May climatology for the region centers on 17–19 °C, so only modest warm-air advection is expected before the Russian Hydrometeorological Center’s next model runs and official VDNKh station readings finalize the result.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
21°C 35%
23°C or higher 26.2%
22°C 22.8%
20°C 19%
NOVO
$13,908 Vol.
NOVO
$13,908 Vol.
16 mai 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
19%
21°C
37%
22°C
23%
23°C or higher
24%
21°C 35%
23°C or higher 26.2%
22°C 22.8%
20°C 19%
NOVO
$13,908 Vol.
NOVO
$13,908 Vol.
16 mai 2026
13°C or below
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$681 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,249 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,218 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,148 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,363 Vol.
4%
20°C
$380 Vol.
19%
21°C
$535 Vol.
37%
22°C
$557 Vol.
23%
23°C or higher
$2,618 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 16 clustering around 20–21 °C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes southerly flow and intermittent sunshine. This setup has lifted implied probabilities for 21 °C to 36.5 % and 22 °C to 22.4 %, while 20 °C holds 19.0 %. Recent days’ highs near 18 °C and lingering spring cloudiness explain why traders assign lower weight to outcomes above 23 °C. Mid-May climatology for the region centers on 17–19 °C, so only modest warm-air advection is expected before the Russian Hydrometeorological Center’s next model runs and official VDNKh station readings finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$13,908Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 16 clustering around 20–21 °C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes southerly flow and intermittent sunshine. This setup has lifted implied probabilities for 21 °C to 36.5 % and 22 °C to 22.4 %, while 20 °C holds 19.0 %. Recent days’ highs near 18 °C and lingering spring cloudiness explain why traders assign lower weight to outcomes above 23 °C. Mid-May climatology for the region centers on 17–19 °C, so only modest warm-air advection is expected before the Russian Hydrometeorological Center’s next model runs and official VDNKh station readings finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,908Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 16 clustering around 20–21 °C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes southerly flow and intermittent sunshine. This setup has lifted implied probabilities for 21 °C to 36.5 % and 22 °C to 22.4 %, while 20 °C holds 19.0 %. Recent days’ highs near 18 °C and lingering spring cloudiness explain why traders assign lower weight to outcomes above 23 °C. Mid-May climatology for the region centers on 17–19 °C, so only modest warm-air advection is expected before the Russian Hydrometeorological Center’s next model runs and official VDNKh station readings finalize the result.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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