Recent model consensus from equatorial Southeast Asian forecast systems places Jakarta’s May 17 maximum at or just below 32 °C, aligning with the 74 % market-implied probability for that bracket. Mid-May climatology shows typical afternoon highs of 32–34 °C driven by consistent solar insolation near the equator, combined with urban heat-island amplification from the city’s dense built environment. Stable steering patterns and moderate boundary-layer moisture have limited convective cloud development in the latest runs, reducing the chance of stronger afternoon cooling that would favor 31 °C or lower. Historical station data at Halim Perdanakusuma for the same period confirm a narrow distribution centered on 32–33 °C, with minimal ENSO influence under current neutral conditions. Tomorrow’s official reading will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jacarta em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Jacarta em 17 de maio?
32°C 74%
33°C 17%
34°C 9.9%
31°C 3.1%
NOVO
$32,014 Vol.
NOVO
$32,014 Vol.
17 mai 2026
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
74%
33°C
17%
34°C
10%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 74%
33°C 17%
34°C 9.9%
31°C 3.1%
NOVO
$32,014 Vol.
NOVO
$32,014 Vol.
17 mai 2026
27°C ou menos
$2,595 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,661 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,352 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5,130 Vol.
3%
32°C
$4,821 Vol.
74%
33°C
$2,900 Vol.
17%
34°C
$2,768 Vol.
10%
35°C
$1,718 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,398 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou mais
$2,237 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from equatorial Southeast Asian forecast systems places Jakarta’s May 17 maximum at or just below 32 °C, aligning with the 74 % market-implied probability for that bracket. Mid-May climatology shows typical afternoon highs of 32–34 °C driven by consistent solar insolation near the equator, combined with urban heat-island amplification from the city’s dense built environment. Stable steering patterns and moderate boundary-layer moisture have limited convective cloud development in the latest runs, reducing the chance of stronger afternoon cooling that would favor 31 °C or lower. Historical station data at Halim Perdanakusuma for the same period confirm a narrow distribution centered on 32–33 °C, with minimal ENSO influence under current neutral conditions. Tomorrow’s official reading will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$32,014Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from equatorial Southeast Asian forecast systems places Jakarta’s May 17 maximum at or just below 32 °C, aligning with the 74 % market-implied probability for that bracket. Mid-May climatology shows typical afternoon highs of 32–34 °C driven by consistent solar insolation near the equator, combined with urban heat-island amplification from the city’s dense built environment. Stable steering patterns and moderate boundary-layer moisture have limited convective cloud development in the latest runs, reducing the chance of stronger afternoon cooling that would favor 31 °C or lower. Historical station data at Halim Perdanakusuma for the same period confirm a narrow distribution centered on 32–33 °C, with minimal ENSO influence under current neutral conditions. Tomorrow’s official reading will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,014Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHRecent model consensus from equatorial Southeast Asian forecast systems places Jakarta’s May 17 maximum at or just below 32 °C, aligning with the 74 % market-implied probability for that bracket. Mid-May climatology shows typical afternoon highs of 32–34 °C driven by consistent solar insolation near the equator, combined with urban heat-island amplification from the city’s dense built environment. Stable steering patterns and moderate boundary-layer moisture have limited convective cloud development in the latest runs, reducing the chance of stronger afternoon cooling that would favor 31 °C or lower. Historical station data at Halim Perdanakusuma for the same period confirm a narrow distribution centered on 32–33 °C, with minimal ENSO influence under current neutral conditions. Tomorrow’s official reading will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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