Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum temperature of 26–28 °C for Mexico City on May 17, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, strong daytime insolation, and typical early-May conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. This aligns with historical climatology showing average highs near 26 °C and recent daily maxima of 26–29 °C, supporting the market’s 94.1 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Key resolution thresholds center on official hourly observations at Benito Juárez International Airport. While isolated afternoon showers could modestly limit heating, ensemble model consensus assigns low odds to prolonged cloud cover sufficient to keep readings below 26 °C, with final data release tomorrow expected to confirm the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 17 de maio?
26°C or higher 94.2%
25°C 3.3%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
NOVO
$14,010 Vol.
NOVO
$14,010 Vol.
17 mai 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
94%
26°C or higher 94.2%
25°C 3.3%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
NOVO
$14,010 Vol.
NOVO
$14,010 Vol.
17 mai 2026
16°C or below
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,148 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,923 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,129 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$794 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$963 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$517 Vol.
1%
24°C
$672 Vol.
2%
25°C
$869 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$644 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum temperature of 26–28 °C for Mexico City on May 17, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, strong daytime insolation, and typical early-May conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. This aligns with historical climatology showing average highs near 26 °C and recent daily maxima of 26–29 °C, supporting the market’s 94.1 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Key resolution thresholds center on official hourly observations at Benito Juárez International Airport. While isolated afternoon showers could modestly limit heating, ensemble model consensus assigns low odds to prolonged cloud cover sufficient to keep readings below 26 °C, with final data release tomorrow expected to confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$14,010Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum temperature of 26–28 °C for Mexico City on May 17, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, strong daytime insolation, and typical early-May conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. This aligns with historical climatology showing average highs near 26 °C and recent daily maxima of 26–29 °C, supporting the market’s 94.1 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Key resolution thresholds center on official hourly observations at Benito Juárez International Airport. While isolated afternoon showers could modestly limit heating, ensemble model consensus assigns low odds to prolonged cloud cover sufficient to keep readings below 26 °C, with final data release tomorrow expected to confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,010Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXOfficial forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum temperature of 26–28 °C for Mexico City on May 17, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, strong daytime insolation, and typical early-May conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. This aligns with historical climatology showing average highs near 26 °C and recent daily maxima of 26–29 °C, supporting the market’s 94.1 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Key resolution thresholds center on official hourly observations at Benito Juárez International Airport. While isolated afternoon showers could modestly limit heating, ensemble model consensus assigns low odds to prolonged cloud cover sufficient to keep readings below 26 °C, with final data release tomorrow expected to confirm the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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