Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major global ensembles show a potent cold front advancing southward across the central Rockies, with northerly flow and high pressure suppressing daytime heating over Denver on May 18. These runs consistently project maximum temperatures in the mid-50s to low 60s Fahrenheit, aligning with historical May climatology under similar synoptic patterns and driving the overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability for 61°F or below. Brief warming from downslope chinook winds or an unexpected jet-stream shift could push readings a few degrees higher, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate such changes remain low-probability before the resolution window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Denver em 18 de maio?
61°F or below 99.4%
70-71°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$10,120 Vol.
$10,120 Vol.
61°F or below
99%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
61°F or below 99.4%
70-71°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$10,120 Vol.
$10,120 Vol.
61°F or below
99%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFForecast models from the National Weather Service and major global ensembles show a potent cold front advancing southward across the central Rockies, with northerly flow and high pressure suppressing daytime heating over Denver on May 18. These runs consistently project maximum temperatures in the mid-50s to low 60s Fahrenheit, aligning with historical May climatology under similar synoptic patterns and driving the overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability for 61°F or below. Brief warming from downslope chinook winds or an unexpected jet-stream shift could push readings a few degrees higher, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate such changes remain low-probability before the resolution window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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