Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature on May 17 at around 30–33°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50% implied probability for 33°C or higher. This reflects recent developments including above-seasonal norms throughout May 2026—averaging 6–8°C warmer than the typical 22–24°C May high—and a surge in heat-related illnesses reported this week amid unseasonably warm conditions following early-May rains. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, tempering intensification potential and boosting odds for 27–32°C outcomes (17–21%), with model ensembles showing spread. Traders await KMA's next update at 06:00 May 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Busan em 17 de maio?
30°C 35%
29°C 28%
31°C 17.0%
32°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
28%
30°C
35%
31°C
11%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
29°C 28%
31°C 17.0%
32°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
23°C or below
$508 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$425 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$203 Vol.
1%
26°C
$124 Vol.
1%
27°C
$421 Vol.
1%
28°C
$169 Vol.
6%
29°C
$36 Vol.
28%
30°C
$71 Vol.
35%
31°C
$125 Vol.
11%
32°C
$127 Vol.
10%
33°C or higher
$2,833 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature on May 17 at around 30–33°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50% implied probability for 33°C or higher. This reflects recent developments including above-seasonal norms throughout May 2026—averaging 6–8°C warmer than the typical 22–24°C May high—and a surge in heat-related illnesses reported this week amid unseasonably warm conditions following early-May rains. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, tempering intensification potential and boosting odds for 27–32°C outcomes (17–21%), with model ensembles showing spread. Traders await KMA's next update at 06:00 May 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$5,042Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature on May 17 at around 30–33°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50% implied probability for 33°C or higher. This reflects recent developments including above-seasonal norms throughout May 2026—averaging 6–8°C warmer than the typical 22–24°C May high—and a surge in heat-related illnesses reported this week amid unseasonably warm conditions following early-May rains. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, tempering intensification potential and boosting odds for 27–32°C outcomes (17–21%), with model ensembles showing spread. Traders await KMA's next update at 06:00 May 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,042Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKKorea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature on May 17 at around 30–33°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50% implied probability for 33°C or higher. This reflects recent developments including above-seasonal norms throughout May 2026—averaging 6–8°C warmer than the typical 22–24°C May high—and a surge in heat-related illnesses reported this week amid unseasonably warm conditions following early-May rains. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, tempering intensification potential and boosting odds for 27–32°C outcomes (17–21%), with model ensembles showing spread. Traders await KMA's next update at 06:00 May 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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