Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Kuala Lumpur's May 16 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 31–33°C due to varying model outputs from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and global ensembles. MetMalaysia's latest advisory projects a 34°C maximum amid isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but aggregators like timeanddate indicate ~32°C peaks under overcast skies and 60%+ storm risk, potentially capping heating via convective cloud cover before 2–4 p.m. local time. Equatorial diurnal patterns, consistent May climatology averaging 32°C highs, and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with earlier storms favoring 31°C and delayed activity enabling 33°C+. New MetMalaysia and ECMWF/GFS updates expected overnight could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 16?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 16?
32°C 29%
33°C 26%
31°C 24%
34°C or higher 14%
NOVO
NOVO
16 mai 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
19%
32°C
29%
33°C
26%
34°C or higher
14%
32°C 29%
33°C 26%
31°C 24%
34°C or higher 14%
NOVO
NOVO
16 mai 2026
24°C or below
$44 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$226 Vol.
1%
28°C
$148 Vol.
1%
29°C
$14 Vol.
3%
30°C
$25 Vol.
5%
31°C
$26 Vol.
19%
32°C
$18 Vol.
29%
33°C
$163 Vol.
26%
34°C or higher
$341 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Kuala Lumpur's May 16 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 31–33°C due to varying model outputs from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and global ensembles. MetMalaysia's latest advisory projects a 34°C maximum amid isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but aggregators like timeanddate indicate ~32°C peaks under overcast skies and 60%+ storm risk, potentially capping heating via convective cloud cover before 2–4 p.m. local time. Equatorial diurnal patterns, consistent May climatology averaging 32°C highs, and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with earlier storms favoring 31°C and delayed activity enabling 33°C+. New MetMalaysia and ECMWF/GFS updates expected overnight could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$1,274Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Kuala Lumpur's May 16 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 31–33°C due to varying model outputs from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and global ensembles. MetMalaysia's latest advisory projects a 34°C maximum amid isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but aggregators like timeanddate indicate ~32°C peaks under overcast skies and 60%+ storm risk, potentially capping heating via convective cloud cover before 2–4 p.m. local time. Equatorial diurnal patterns, consistent May climatology averaging 32°C highs, and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with earlier storms favoring 31°C and delayed activity enabling 33°C+. New MetMalaysia and ECMWF/GFS updates expected overnight could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,274Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Kuala Lumpur's May 16 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 31–33°C due to varying model outputs from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and global ensembles. MetMalaysia's latest advisory projects a 34°C maximum amid isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but aggregators like timeanddate indicate ~32°C peaks under overcast skies and 60%+ storm risk, potentially capping heating via convective cloud cover before 2–4 p.m. local time. Equatorial diurnal patterns, consistent May climatology averaging 32°C highs, and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with earlier storms favoring 31°C and delayed activity enabling 33°C+. New MetMalaysia and ECMWF/GFS updates expected overnight could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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