Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts a maximum temperature of 21-25°C in Taipei today amid a frontal system ushering cloudy skies, occasional showers or thunderstorms, and a 90% precipitation chance, following yesterday's 28°C+ peak—strongly supporting the market-implied 99.9% consensus on the 26°C outcome at Taipei Songshan Airport Station. Current observations hover around 24°C under overcast conditions, with persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation and suppressing highs below May's climatological average of 29°C, while urban heat island effects at the airport site provide a slight upward bias over CWA's historically conservative guidance. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS indicate low likelihood of significant clearing for 27°C+, though hourly CWA updates through evening could reveal brief adiabatic heating spikes challenging this positioning. Final resolution awaits finalized Wunderground data for the RCSS station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
$75,456 Vol.
$75,456 Vol.
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
<1%
$75,456 Vol.
$75,456 Vol.
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts a maximum temperature of 21-25°C in Taipei today amid a frontal system ushering cloudy skies, occasional showers or thunderstorms, and a 90% precipitation chance, following yesterday's 28°C+ peak—strongly supporting the market-implied 99.9% consensus on the 26°C outcome at Taipei Songshan Airport Station. Current observations hover around 24°C under overcast conditions, with persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation and suppressing highs below May's climatological average of 29°C, while urban heat island effects at the airport site provide a slight upward bias over CWA's historically conservative guidance. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS indicate low likelihood of significant clearing for 27°C+, though hourly CWA updates through evening could reveal brief adiabatic heating spikes challenging this positioning. Final resolution awaits finalized Wunderground data for the RCSS station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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