Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$88,964 Vol.
$88,964 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$88,964 Vol.
$88,964 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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