The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for a 35°C high in Manila today is anchored by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) forecast, which calls for a maximum air temperature of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. In Manila’s May climatology, afternoon peaks typically reach 33–34°C when the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the South China Sea limits convective cooling; the current model consensus and observed trends support a modest uptick to exactly 35°C at the official synoptic station. A shift to 34°C or 36°C remains possible only if localized rainfall develops earlier than expected or if the urban heat-island effect at the measuring site produces a one-degree variance, but the latest observational data and forecast stability leave little room for those outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on May 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 16?
35°C 99.8%
37°C <1%
33°C <1%
36°C <1%
$42,291 Vol.
$42,291 Vol.
16 mai 2026
33°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.8%
37°C <1%
33°C <1%
36°C <1%
$42,291 Vol.
$42,291 Vol.
16 mai 2026
33°C
$4,835 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,318 Vol.
100%
36°C
$3,858 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$3,842 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,972 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$742 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for a 35°C high in Manila today is anchored by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) forecast, which calls for a maximum air temperature of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. In Manila’s May climatology, afternoon peaks typically reach 33–34°C when the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the South China Sea limits convective cooling; the current model consensus and observed trends support a modest uptick to exactly 35°C at the official synoptic station. A shift to 34°C or 36°C remains possible only if localized rainfall develops earlier than expected or if the urban heat-island effect at the measuring site produces a one-degree variance, but the latest observational data and forecast stability leave little room for those outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$42,291Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for a 35°C high in Manila today is anchored by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) forecast, which calls for a maximum air temperature of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. In Manila’s May climatology, afternoon peaks typically reach 33–34°C when the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the South China Sea limits convective cooling; the current model consensus and observed trends support a modest uptick to exactly 35°C at the official synoptic station. A shift to 34°C or 36°C remains possible only if localized rainfall develops earlier than expected or if the urban heat-island effect at the measuring site produces a one-degree variance, but the latest observational data and forecast stability leave little room for those outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,291Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for a 35°C high in Manila today is anchored by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) forecast, which calls for a maximum air temperature of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. In Manila’s May climatology, afternoon peaks typically reach 33–34°C when the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the South China Sea limits convective cooling; the current model consensus and observed trends support a modest uptick to exactly 35°C at the official synoptic station. A shift to 34°C or 36°C remains possible only if localized rainfall develops earlier than expected or if the urban heat-island effect at the measuring site produces a one-degree variance, but the latest observational data and forecast stability leave little room for those outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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