Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Beijing’s May 17 high will center near 20–23 °C under a weak cold front that delivers northerly flow, scattered light rain, and sustained cloud cover. Reduced solar insolation and enhanced turbulent mixing of cooler boundary-layer air keep afternoon temperatures from climbing higher, while any earlier frontal passage or partial clearing could allow brief warming into the low 20s. Historical May averages near 25 °C provide context for the cooler setup, and traders’ tight clustering around 19–21 °C reflects this narrow forecast spread ahead of final observational data tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 17 de maio?
20°C 32%
19°C 24%
21°C 21%
18°C 13.5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
13%
19°C
24%
20°C
32%
21°C
21%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
2%
20°C 32%
19°C 24%
21°C 21%
18°C 13.5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
13%
19°C
24%
20°C
32%
21°C
21%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAALatest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Beijing’s May 17 high will center near 20–23 °C under a weak cold front that delivers northerly flow, scattered light rain, and sustained cloud cover. Reduced solar insolation and enhanced turbulent mixing of cooler boundary-layer air keep afternoon temperatures from climbing higher, while any earlier frontal passage or partial clearing could allow brief warming into the low 20s. Historical May averages near 25 °C provide context for the cooler setup, and traders’ tight clustering around 19–21 °C reflects this narrow forecast spread ahead of final observational data tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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