Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble consensus from ECMWF and GFS models project a Seoul overnight low of 14°C on May 16, 2026, under persistent clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms at the official station, where historical minima typically range 13–16°C, though a warmer-than-average 2026 spring and urban heat-island effects have moderated extremes. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast window, with only modest probability remaining for 13°C or below should unexpected cloud cover increase. Final KMA observations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul em 16 de maio?
14°C 96.8%
13°C ou menos 2.9%
15°C 1.3%
16°C <1%
$25,234 Vol.
$25,234 Vol.
13°C ou menos
3%
14°C
97%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
14°C 96.8%
13°C ou menos 2.9%
15°C 1.3%
16°C <1%
$25,234 Vol.
$25,234 Vol.
13°C ou menos
3%
14°C
97%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble consensus from ECMWF and GFS models project a Seoul overnight low of 14°C on May 16, 2026, under persistent clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms at the official station, where historical minima typically range 13–16°C, though a warmer-than-average 2026 spring and urban heat-island effects have moderated extremes. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast window, with only modest probability remaining for 13°C or below should unexpected cloud cover increase. Final KMA observations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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