Current ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration place Seoul's overnight minimum for May 17 in a narrow 13–15 °C window, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northerly flow typical of mid-spring. With average May lows near 14 °C and daily variability of 1–2 °C from shifting humidity and boundary-layer winds, traders see nearly equal likelihood for 14 °C versus 15 °C resolution. Updated model runs tonight will refine dew-point and wind-speed inputs that determine whether the minimum settles at the lower or upper edge of this range, while longer-term climatology shows May 17 lows have historically fallen between 12–17 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul em 17 de maio?
14°C 29%
15°C 28%
13°C 11.5%
16°C 9%
$10,123 Vol.
$10,123 Vol.
12°C ou menos
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
29%
15°C
29%
16°C
9%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
14°C 29%
15°C 28%
13°C 11.5%
16°C 9%
$10,123 Vol.
$10,123 Vol.
12°C ou menos
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
29%
15°C
29%
16°C
9%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSICurrent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration place Seoul's overnight minimum for May 17 in a narrow 13–15 °C window, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northerly flow typical of mid-spring. With average May lows near 14 °C and daily variability of 1–2 °C from shifting humidity and boundary-layer winds, traders see nearly equal likelihood for 14 °C versus 15 °C resolution. Updated model runs tonight will refine dew-point and wind-speed inputs that determine whether the minimum settles at the lower or upper edge of this range, while longer-term climatology shows May 17 lows have historically fallen between 12–17 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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