Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Paris on May 13, 2026, at a 100% implied probability, reflecting real-time observational data from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station showing a midday peak of 14°C under persistent overcast skies, showers, and a cool northerly airflow capping daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and ARPEGE, which converged on 13–15°C highs amid an unstable mid-level trough, well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. While inherent uncertainty in late-afternoon cloud breaks could allow brief insolation pushing to 15°C, current evening cooling and sunset diminish that risk; final resolution awaits Météo-France's official daily maximum report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 13?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$132,734 Vol.
$132,734 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$132,734 Vol.
$132,734 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Paris on May 13, 2026, at a 100% implied probability, reflecting real-time observational data from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station showing a midday peak of 14°C under persistent overcast skies, showers, and a cool northerly airflow capping daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and ARPEGE, which converged on 13–15°C highs amid an unstable mid-level trough, well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. While inherent uncertainty in late-afternoon cloud breaks could allow brief insolation pushing to 15°C, current evening cooling and sunset diminish that risk; final resolution awaits Météo-France's official daily maximum report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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