Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models point to an overnight minimum of 10–11°C in Paris on May 17, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling at the Le Bourget resolution station. Light winds and mostly overcast skies through dawn further suppress temperature drops, keeping values above the seasonal climatological average of roughly 10°C. Recent days have shown a stabilizing cool pattern over Île-de-France with no sharp cold advection expected, while any model spread remains narrow around the 9–12°C range. Final updates from Météo-France ahead of the nocturnal period will determine whether the market’s leading 10°C outcome holds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 17 de maio?
10°C 45%
9°C 19%
11°C 18%
12°C ou mais 9%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
2°C ou menos
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
4%
9°C
19%
10°C
39%
11°C
27%
12°C ou mais
9%
10°C 45%
9°C 19%
11°C 18%
12°C ou mais 9%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
2°C ou menos
$66 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$217 Vol.
1%
5°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$87 Vol.
4%
9°C
$122 Vol.
19%
10°C
$66 Vol.
39%
11°C
$80 Vol.
27%
12°C ou mais
$154 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models point to an overnight minimum of 10–11°C in Paris on May 17, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling at the Le Bourget resolution station. Light winds and mostly overcast skies through dawn further suppress temperature drops, keeping values above the seasonal climatological average of roughly 10°C. Recent days have shown a stabilizing cool pattern over Île-de-France with no sharp cold advection expected, while any model spread remains narrow around the 9–12°C range. Final updates from Météo-France ahead of the nocturnal period will determine whether the market’s leading 10°C outcome holds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,709Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models point to an overnight minimum of 10–11°C in Paris on May 17, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling at the Le Bourget resolution station. Light winds and mostly overcast skies through dawn further suppress temperature drops, keeping values above the seasonal climatological average of roughly 10°C. Recent days have shown a stabilizing cool pattern over Île-de-France with no sharp cold advection expected, while any model spread remains narrow around the 9–12°C range. Final updates from Météo-France ahead of the nocturnal period will determine whether the market’s leading 10°C outcome holds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,709Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBLatest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models point to an overnight minimum of 10–11°C in Paris on May 17, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling at the Le Bourget resolution station. Light winds and mostly overcast skies through dawn further suppress temperature drops, keeping values above the seasonal climatological average of roughly 10°C. Recent days have shown a stabilizing cool pattern over Île-de-France with no sharp cold advection expected, while any model spread remains narrow around the 9–12°C range. Final updates from Météo-France ahead of the nocturnal period will determine whether the market’s leading 10°C outcome holds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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