Latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts project Paris's lowest temperature on May 16 near 6–7°C, reflecting persistent northerly airflow ushering cool maritime air over Île-de-France amid overcast skies and scattered showers that curb daytime heating. This drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 33% for 7°C, 28.5% for 6°C, and 22% for 5°C, as model runs show a 1–2°C spread due to uncertainties in overnight cloud cover—thicker clouds trap heat for milder lows, while clearing could allow radiative cooling to 5°C or below. Compared to the mid-May climatological average of 9–10°C, the anomalous cold snap stems from a blocking high to the north. Watch for afternoon updates from Paris-Le Bourget station observations, with resolution tied to official Météo-France measurements at standard meteorological sites.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 16 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 16 de maio?
7°C 33%
6°C 29%
5°C 27%
4°C 5.1%
NOVO
NOVO
16 mai 2026
0°C ou menos
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
2%
4°C
5%
5°C
22%
6°C
29%
7°C
33%
8°C
3%
9°C
5%
10°C ou mais
1%
7°C 33%
6°C 29%
5°C 27%
4°C 5.1%
NOVO
NOVO
16 mai 2026
0°C ou menos
$28 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$160 Vol.
1%
2°C
$124 Vol.
1%
3°C
$112 Vol.
2%
4°C
$62 Vol.
5%
5°C
$79 Vol.
22%
6°C
$17 Vol.
29%
7°C
$71 Vol.
33%
8°C
$85 Vol.
3%
9°C
$123 Vol.
5%
10°C ou mais
$1,528 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts project Paris's lowest temperature on May 16 near 6–7°C, reflecting persistent northerly airflow ushering cool maritime air over Île-de-France amid overcast skies and scattered showers that curb daytime heating. This drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 33% for 7°C, 28.5% for 6°C, and 22% for 5°C, as model runs show a 1–2°C spread due to uncertainties in overnight cloud cover—thicker clouds trap heat for milder lows, while clearing could allow radiative cooling to 5°C or below. Compared to the mid-May climatological average of 9–10°C, the anomalous cold snap stems from a blocking high to the north. Watch for afternoon updates from Paris-Le Bourget station observations, with resolution tied to official Météo-France measurements at standard meteorological sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,383Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts project Paris's lowest temperature on May 16 near 6–7°C, reflecting persistent northerly airflow ushering cool maritime air over Île-de-France amid overcast skies and scattered showers that curb daytime heating. This drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 33% for 7°C, 28.5% for 6°C, and 22% for 5°C, as model runs show a 1–2°C spread due to uncertainties in overnight cloud cover—thicker clouds trap heat for milder lows, while clearing could allow radiative cooling to 5°C or below. Compared to the mid-May climatological average of 9–10°C, the anomalous cold snap stems from a blocking high to the north. Watch for afternoon updates from Paris-Le Bourget station observations, with resolution tied to official Météo-France measurements at standard meteorological sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,383Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBLatest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts project Paris's lowest temperature on May 16 near 6–7°C, reflecting persistent northerly airflow ushering cool maritime air over Île-de-France amid overcast skies and scattered showers that curb daytime heating. This drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 33% for 7°C, 28.5% for 6°C, and 22% for 5°C, as model runs show a 1–2°C spread due to uncertainties in overnight cloud cover—thicker clouds trap heat for milder lows, while clearing could allow radiative cooling to 5°C or below. Compared to the mid-May climatological average of 9–10°C, the anomalous cold snap stems from a blocking high to the north. Watch for afternoon updates from Paris-Le Bourget station observations, with resolution tied to official Météo-France measurements at standard meteorological sites.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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