Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at the market-resolution Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature reached 14°C by mid-afternoon on May 13, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome amid cooling evening conditions. Breezy winds and increasing cloud cover, as forecasted by DWD and ECMWF models, suppress further warming potential in the remaining daylight hours, aligning with a broader cool air mass over southern Germany that has kept highs below seasonal norms of 17–19°C. While an improbable late-afternoon clearing could enable brief solar heating to 15°C, current atmospheric stability and short-term model runs indicate negligible risk, with final DWD daily records expected to affirm resolution shortly after midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 13?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 13?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$87,292 Vol.
$87,292 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$87,292 Vol.
$87,292 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at the market-resolution Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature reached 14°C by mid-afternoon on May 13, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome amid cooling evening conditions. Breezy winds and increasing cloud cover, as forecasted by DWD and ECMWF models, suppress further warming potential in the remaining daylight hours, aligning with a broader cool air mass over southern Germany that has kept highs below seasonal norms of 17–19°C. While an improbable late-afternoon clearing could enable brief solar heating to 15°C, current atmospheric stability and short-term model runs indicate negligible risk, with final DWD daily records expected to affirm resolution shortly after midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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