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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

mai 18

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

mai 18

23°C 96.8%

22°C 3.0%

21°C <1%

20°C <1%

Polymarket

$17,340 Vol.

23°C 96.8%

22°C 3.0%

21°C <1%

20°C <1%

Polymarket

$17,340 Vol.

18°C ou menos

$1,242 Vol.

<1%

19°C

$1,071 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$525 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$1,111 Vol.

1%

22°C

$959 Vol.

3%

23°C

$1,361 Vol.

97%

24°C

$5,739 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,309 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$1,076 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$753 Vol.

<1%

28°C ou mais

$2,200 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional numerical weather prediction models indicate a minimum of 23°C for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that favors clear skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where daily lows in the region typically range from 23°C to 25°C amid southerly flows and residual moisture. Trader consensus at 96.4% for 23°C reflects the strong model agreement and absence of disruptive frontal systems or increased cloud cover that could enhance cooling. An unexpected shift in steering patterns or revised evening guidance from the Observatory could still allow 22°C, though current data make that outcome unlikely.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,340
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional numerical weather prediction models indicate a minimum of 23°C for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that favors clear skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where daily lows in the region typically range from 23°C to 25°C amid southerly flows and residual moisture. Trader consensus at 96.4% for 23°C reflects the strong model agreement and absence of disruptive frontal systems or increased cloud cover that could enhance cooling. An unexpected shift in steering patterns or revised evening guidance from the Observatory could still allow 22°C, though current data make that outcome unlikely.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,340
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "23°C" at 97%, followed by "22°C" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?" is "23°C" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "22°C" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.