Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C on May 17 under fine, settled conditions with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Mid-autumn climatology typically produces highs between 12°C and 15°C in the region, where rapid shifts in wind direction across the Cook Strait can alter peak temperatures by 2–3°C within hours. Recent days have shown consistent cool southerly influences keeping readings near the lower end of that range, yet model consensus now favors modest warming tomorrow. Traders have priced the 14°C outcome highest at 50.5 percent because short-range ensemble runs align closely with this value, while the 13°C and 15°C bands remain competitive at 23.5 percent and 22.5 percent amid lingering forecast uncertainty. Final updates from official monitoring stations will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 17 de maio?
14°C 50%
13°C 24%
15°C 22%
12°C 7%
$24,790 Vol.
$24,790 Vol.
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
7%
13°C
24%
14°C
50%
15°C
22%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
14°C 50%
13°C 24%
15°C 22%
12°C 7%
$24,790 Vol.
$24,790 Vol.
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
7%
13°C
24%
14°C
50%
15°C
22%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNLatest MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C on May 17 under fine, settled conditions with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Mid-autumn climatology typically produces highs between 12°C and 15°C in the region, where rapid shifts in wind direction across the Cook Strait can alter peak temperatures by 2–3°C within hours. Recent days have shown consistent cool southerly influences keeping readings near the lower end of that range, yet model consensus now favors modest warming tomorrow. Traders have priced the 14°C outcome highest at 50.5 percent because short-range ensemble runs align closely with this value, while the 13°C and 15°C bands remain competitive at 23.5 percent and 22.5 percent amid lingering forecast uncertainty. Final updates from official monitoring stations will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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