Traders overwhelmingly favor 23°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory’s latest model consensus and real-time observations showing stable subtropical high pressure over the South China Sea. Mid-May climatology places typical overnight minima between 22–25°C, and current guidance indicates no significant northerly surge or increased cloud cover that would produce cooler readings. Atmospheric conditions remain consistent with historical averages for this period, with minimal deviation expected from prevailing southeasterly flow. An abrupt shift in the monsoon trough or localized convective activity could theoretically alter the outcome, yet the latest forecast runs and station data through the past 24 hours leave little room for such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 16 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 16 de maio?
23°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
$37,788 Vol.
$37,788 Vol.
16 mai 2026
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
$37,788 Vol.
$37,788 Vol.
16 mai 2026
18°C ou menos
$2,220 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,786 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,613 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,673 Vol.
100%
24°C
$6,962 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,388 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,219 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou mais
$2,619 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders overwhelmingly favor 23°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory’s latest model consensus and real-time observations showing stable subtropical high pressure over the South China Sea. Mid-May climatology places typical overnight minima between 22–25°C, and current guidance indicates no significant northerly surge or increased cloud cover that would produce cooler readings. Atmospheric conditions remain consistent with historical averages for this period, with minimal deviation expected from prevailing southeasterly flow. An abrupt shift in the monsoon trough or localized convective activity could theoretically alter the outcome, yet the latest forecast runs and station data through the past 24 hours leave little room for such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$37,788Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders overwhelmingly favor 23°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory’s latest model consensus and real-time observations showing stable subtropical high pressure over the South China Sea. Mid-May climatology places typical overnight minima between 22–25°C, and current guidance indicates no significant northerly surge or increased cloud cover that would produce cooler readings. Atmospheric conditions remain consistent with historical averages for this period, with minimal deviation expected from prevailing southeasterly flow. An abrupt shift in the monsoon trough or localized convective activity could theoretically alter the outcome, yet the latest forecast runs and station data through the past 24 hours leave little room for such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,788Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders overwhelmingly favor 23°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory’s latest model consensus and real-time observations showing stable subtropical high pressure over the South China Sea. Mid-May climatology places typical overnight minima between 22–25°C, and current guidance indicates no significant northerly surge or increased cloud cover that would produce cooler readings. Atmospheric conditions remain consistent with historical averages for this period, with minimal deviation expected from prevailing southeasterly flow. An abrupt shift in the monsoon trough or localized convective activity could theoretically alter the outcome, yet the latest forecast runs and station data through the past 24 hours leave little room for such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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