Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEurovision 3rd Place 2026
Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Greece 18%
Finland 17%
Australia 14%
Denmark 11%
NOVO
NOVO
16 mai 2026
Greece
18%
Finland
17%
Australia
14%
Denmark
11%
Israel
13%
France
7%
Moldova
7%
Belgium
6%
Italy
5%
Bulgaria
5%
Sweden
5%
Malta
5%
Romania
5%
Ukraine
4%
Norway
4%
Cyprus
4%
Croatia
4%
Lithuania
4%
Germany
3%
Serbia
3%
Czechia
3%
Latvia
3%
Azerbaijan
3%
Austria
3%
Poland
3%
Albania
3%
Armenia
3%
Georgia
1%
Portugal
1%
United Kingdom
1%
Luxembourg
1%
Montenegro
1%
Estonia
1%
Switzerland
1%
San Marino
<1%
Greece 18%
Finland 17%
Australia 14%
Denmark 11%
NOVO
NOVO
16 mai 2026
Greece
$281 Vol.
18%
Finland
$1,356 Vol.
17%
Australia
$44 Vol.
14%
Denmark
$44 Vol.
11%
Israel
$69 Vol.
13%
France
$44 Vol.
7%
Moldova
$44 Vol.
7%
Belgium
$129 Vol.
6%
Italy
$59 Vol.
5%
Bulgaria
$44 Vol.
5%
Sweden
$44 Vol.
5%
Malta
$89 Vol.
5%
Romania
$44 Vol.
5%
Ukraine
$44 Vol.
4%
Norway
$225 Vol.
4%
Cyprus
$69 Vol.
4%
Croatia
$103 Vol.
4%
Lithuania
$269 Vol.
4%
Germany
$222 Vol.
3%
Serbia
$45 Vol.
3%
Czechia
$44 Vol.
3%
Latvia
$269 Vol.
3%
Azerbaijan
$195 Vol.
3%
Austria
$190 Vol.
3%
Poland
$293 Vol.
3%
Albania
$140 Vol.
3%
Armenia
$114 Vol.
3%
Georgia
$291 Vol.
1%
Portugal
$279 Vol.
1%
United Kingdom
$269 Vol.
1%
Luxembourg
$269 Vol.
1%
Montenegro
$730 Vol.
1%
Estonia
$269 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$432 Vol.
1%
San Marino
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Volume
$7,335Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$7,335Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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