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icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

NOVO
31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$2,873 Vol.

Polymarket

Drake

$1,730 Vol.

91%

Ariana Grande

$33 Vol.

84%

Beyoncé

$0 Vol.

52%

Gracie Abrams

$0 Vol.

52%

The Weeknd

$0 Vol.

51%

Olivia Rodrigo

$68 Vol.

39%

Olivia Dean

$0 Vol.

9%

Bruno Mars

$0 Vol.

8%

Bad Bunny

$1 Vol.

7%

Alex Warren

$61 Vol.

2%

Don Toliver

$0 Vol.

2%

Kanye West

$52 Vol.

2%

Noah Kahan

$709 Vol.

1%

Taylor Swift

$218 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Trader consensus heavily favors Drake at 92% implied probability for a Spotify Global daily Top 50 #1 in May, propelled by his upcoming album *Iceman* dropping May 15—poised to unleash massive streaming surges following his recent record-breaking 60 million daily Spotify streams for a rapper without new music. Olivia Rodrigo has already secured a yes outcome with "Drop Dead" topping the chart earlier this month, while catalog staples like Justin Bieber's long-running "Beauty and a Beat" currently hold #1 amid viral resurgence. Ariana Grande sits at 84% on hype for potential singles, but Drake's release strategy and historical dominance in streaming metrics position him as the clear frontrunner through May 31, with daily chart updates as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$2,873
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Trader consensus heavily favors Drake at 92% implied probability for a Spotify Global daily Top 50 #1 in May, propelled by his upcoming album *Iceman* dropping May 15—poised to unleash massive streaming surges following his recent record-breaking 60 million daily Spotify streams for a rapper without new music. Olivia Rodrigo has already secured a yes outcome with "Drop Dead" topping the chart earlier this month, while catalog staples like Justin Bieber's long-running "Beauty and a Beat" currently hold #1 amid viral resurgence. Ariana Grande sits at 84% on hype for potential singles, but Drake's release strategy and historical dominance in streaming metrics position him as the clear frontrunner through May 31, with daily chart updates as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$2,873
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Drake" at 91%, followed by "Ariana Grande" at 84%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" is "Drake" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ariana Grande" at 84%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.