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icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 44.5%

Grécia 12.1%

Austrália 10.4%

Dinamarca 10.2%

Polymarket

$161,479,909 Vol.

Finlândia 44.5%

Grécia 12.1%

Austrália 10.4%

Dinamarca 10.2%

Polymarket

$161,479,909 Vol.

icon for Finlândia

Finlândia

$4,724,155 Vol.

45%

icon for Grécia

Grécia

$3,950,968 Vol.

12%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$2,892,533 Vol.

10%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$2,488,192 Vol.

10%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,078,273 Vol.

6%

icon for França

França

$3,246,957 Vol.

4%

icon for Romênia

Romênia

$2,831,823 Vol.

3%

icon for Bulgária

Bulgária

$3,431,456 Vol.

3%

icon for Itália

Itália

$3,928,835 Vol.

2%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$2,381,099 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucrânia

Ucrânia

$2,888,590 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldávia

Moldávia

$4,252,437 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$4,674,103 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$3,044,205 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$2,193,448 Vol.

1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$2,809,233 Vol.

1%

icon for Albânia

Albânia

$6,806,477 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sérvia

Sérvia

$5,826,102 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$3,581,104 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxemburgo

Luxemburgo

$3,825,590 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$4,556,933 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituânia

Lituânia

$5,315,057 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polônia

Polônia

$6,615,576 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$3,636,400 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$7,424,446 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,066,044 Vol.

<1%

icon for Letônia

Letônia

$6,052,170 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armênia

Armênia

$6,673,225 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaijão

Azerbaijão

$6,745,984 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$5,831,284 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" on May 12 in Vienna, where the classical violinist's live playing—granted special EBU permission—drew rapturous audience reactions and strong televote buzz for its fiery pop fusion. Greece's Akylas follows at 12.1% after a solid "Ferto" qualifying run, capitalizing on thematic depth about overconsumption. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (10.2%) and Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse" (10.3%) build momentum via recent Semi-Final 2 rehearsals, positioning as dark horses amid jury-televote splits. With tonight's Semi-Final 2 and Saturday's Grand Final looming, odds reflect post-rehearsal frontrunner dynamics but remain fluid per historical upsets.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$161,479,909
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" on May 12 in Vienna, where the classical violinist's live playing—granted special EBU permission—drew rapturous audience reactions and strong televote buzz for its fiery pop fusion. Greece's Akylas follows at 12.1% after a solid "Ferto" qualifying run, capitalizing on thematic depth about overconsumption. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (10.2%) and Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse" (10.3%) build momentum via recent Semi-Final 2 rehearsals, positioning as dark horses amid jury-televote splits. With tonight's Semi-Final 2 and Saturday's Grand Final looming, odds reflect post-rehearsal frontrunner dynamics but remain fluid per historical upsets.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$161,479,909
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 45%, followed by "Grécia" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $161.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grécia" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.