Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" on May 12 in Vienna, where the classical violinist's live playing—granted special EBU permission—drew rapturous audience reactions and strong televote buzz for its fiery pop fusion. Greece's Akylas follows at 12.1% after a solid "Ferto" qualifying run, capitalizing on thematic depth about overconsumption. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (10.2%) and Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse" (10.3%) build momentum via recent Semi-Final 2 rehearsals, positioning as dark horses amid jury-televote splits. With tonight's Semi-Final 2 and Saturday's Grand Final looming, odds reflect post-rehearsal frontrunner dynamics but remain fluid per historical upsets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Finlândia 44.5%
Grécia 12.1%
Austrália 10.4%
Dinamarca 10.2%
$161,479,909 Vol.
$161,479,909 Vol.

Finlândia
45%

Grécia
12%

Austrália
10%

Dinamarca
10%

Israel
6%

França
4%

Romênia
3%

Bulgária
3%

Itália
2%

Chéquia
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Moldávia
1%

Croácia
1%

Malta
1%

Suécia
1%

Chipre
1%

Albânia
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Letônia
<1%

Armênia
<1%

Azerbaijão
<1%

Suíça
<1%
Finlândia 44.5%
Grécia 12.1%
Austrália 10.4%
Dinamarca 10.2%
$161,479,909 Vol.
$161,479,909 Vol.

Finlândia
45%

Grécia
12%

Austrália
10%

Dinamarca
10%

Israel
6%

França
4%

Romênia
3%

Bulgária
3%

Itália
2%

Chéquia
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Moldávia
1%

Croácia
1%

Malta
1%

Suécia
1%

Chipre
1%

Albânia
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Letônia
<1%

Armênia
<1%

Azerbaijão
<1%

Suíça
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" on May 12 in Vienna, where the classical violinist's live playing—granted special EBU permission—drew rapturous audience reactions and strong televote buzz for its fiery pop fusion. Greece's Akylas follows at 12.1% after a solid "Ferto" qualifying run, capitalizing on thematic depth about overconsumption. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (10.2%) and Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse" (10.3%) build momentum via recent Semi-Final 2 rehearsals, positioning as dark horses amid jury-televote splits. With tonight's Semi-Final 2 and Saturday's Grand Final looming, odds reflect post-rehearsal frontrunner dynamics but remain fluid per historical upsets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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