Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Mortal Kombat II's second-weekend domestic gross falling under $20 million (97% implied probability), driven by its front-loaded $38.5 million opening that missed $40 million-plus tracking amid fierce competition from The Devil Wears Prada 2's $41.6 million No. 1 debut. Sharp daily declines—Saturday -21%, Sunday -37%, Monday -67%—signal weak word-of-mouth despite solid reviews and a so-so CinemaScore, compounded by poor international legs ($26 million worldwide so far versus $80 million budget). Holdovers like Prada 2 and Michael, plus new releases, crowd theaters. An upset to 20 million-plus would require an improbably mild 45-50% drop fueled by late-breaking fan buzz, but early multipliers (1.17x opening) point to steeper erosion. Weekend estimates drop Thursday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Mortal Kombat II" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria
"Mortal Kombat II" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria
<20m 98.6%
20-23 milhões 1.1%
>26 milhões <1%
23-26 milhões <1%
<20m
99%
20-23 milhões
1%
23-26 milhões
<1%
>26 milhões
<1%
<20m 98.6%
20-23 milhões 1.1%
>26 milhões <1%
23-26 milhões <1%
<20m
99%
20-23 milhões
1%
23-26 milhões
<1%
>26 milhões
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Mortal Kombat II's second-weekend domestic gross falling under $20 million (97% implied probability), driven by its front-loaded $38.5 million opening that missed $40 million-plus tracking amid fierce competition from The Devil Wears Prada 2's $41.6 million No. 1 debut. Sharp daily declines—Saturday -21%, Sunday -37%, Monday -67%—signal weak word-of-mouth despite solid reviews and a so-so CinemaScore, compounded by poor international legs ($26 million worldwide so far versus $80 million budget). Holdovers like Prada 2 and Michael, plus new releases, crowd theaters. An upset to 20 million-plus would require an improbably mild 45-50% drop fueled by late-breaking fan buzz, but early multipliers (1.17x opening) point to steeper erosion. Weekend estimates drop Thursday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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