Elon Musk's elevated posting pace through mid-May has anchored trader focus on ranges clustered around 800–919 tweets, where the top three outcomes sit within a tight 1.1-point spread. Sustained engagement with free-speech debates, UK policy flashpoints, and cultural controversies has kept daily volume elevated, mirroring patterns from prior high-activity stretches. With roughly half the month remaining, the evenly distributed probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether breaking news cycles or quieter periods will accelerate or throttle output. Key swing factors include upcoming platform policy shifts, major political developments, and Musk’s typical response to viral cultural moments, all of which could push the final tally across multiple 40-tweet bands before May closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado800-839 11.5%
880-919 11.1%
840-879 10.2%
920-959 9.7%
$2,851,239 Vol.
$2,851,239 Vol.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
2%
720-739
3%
740-759
5%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
12%
840-879
10%
880-919
11%
920-959
10%
960-999
6%
1000-1039
3%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
800-839 11.5%
880-919 11.1%
840-879 10.2%
920-959 9.7%
$2,851,239 Vol.
$2,851,239 Vol.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
2%
720-739
3%
740-759
5%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
12%
840-879
10%
880-919
11%
920-959
10%
960-999
6%
1000-1039
3%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's elevated posting pace through mid-May has anchored trader focus on ranges clustered around 800–919 tweets, where the top three outcomes sit within a tight 1.1-point spread. Sustained engagement with free-speech debates, UK policy flashpoints, and cultural controversies has kept daily volume elevated, mirroring patterns from prior high-activity stretches. With roughly half the month remaining, the evenly distributed probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether breaking news cycles or quieter periods will accelerate or throttle output. Key swing factors include upcoming platform policy shifts, major political developments, and Musk’s typical response to viral cultural moments, all of which could push the final tally across multiple 40-tweet bands before May closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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