The tightly clustered probabilities around 40-41% across all time brackets and the “not completed” option underscore the high uncertainty surrounding Ant Middleton’s Everest summit attempt. As a former Special Forces soldier turned reality-TV personality, Middleton’s documented physical conditioning and mental resilience create a competitive baseline, yet Everest’s extreme weather windows, altitude acclimatization demands, and logistical variables introduce rapid momentum shifts that traders are pricing in real time. Recent tracking updates on his expedition’s progress, oxygen logistics, and daily climbing rates remain the decisive swing factors, with any delay from storms or health checks quickly redistributing implied odds across the narrow daily windows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHow long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?
How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?
Not Completed 42%
< 2 days 41%
2 - 3 days 41%
3 - 4 days 41%
NOVO
NOVO
30 mai 2026
< 2 days
41%
2 - 3 days
41%
3 - 4 days
41%
4 - 5 days
41%
5 - 6 days
41%
> 6 days
41%
Not Completed
42%
Not Completed 42%
< 2 days 41%
2 - 3 days 41%
3 - 4 days 41%
NOVO
NOVO
30 mai 2026
< 2 days
$10 Vol.
41%
2 - 3 days
$0 Vol.
41%
3 - 4 days
$0 Vol.
41%
4 - 5 days
$0 Vol.
41%
5 - 6 days
$0 Vol.
41%
> 6 days
$0 Vol.
41%
Not Completed
$0 Vol.
42%
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly clustered probabilities around 40-41% across all time brackets and the “not completed” option underscore the high uncertainty surrounding Ant Middleton’s Everest summit attempt. As a former Special Forces soldier turned reality-TV personality, Middleton’s documented physical conditioning and mental resilience create a competitive baseline, yet Everest’s extreme weather windows, altitude acclimatization demands, and logistical variables introduce rapid momentum shifts that traders are pricing in real time. Recent tracking updates on his expedition’s progress, oxygen logistics, and daily climbing rates remain the decisive swing factors, with any delay from storms or health checks quickly redistributing implied odds across the narrow daily windows.
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$10Data de Término
30 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly clustered probabilities around 40-41% across all time brackets and the “not completed” option underscore the high uncertainty surrounding Ant Middleton’s Everest summit attempt. As a former Special Forces soldier turned reality-TV personality, Middleton’s documented physical conditioning and mental resilience create a competitive baseline, yet Everest’s extreme weather windows, altitude acclimatization demands, and logistical variables introduce rapid momentum shifts that traders are pricing in real time. Recent tracking updates on his expedition’s progress, oxygen logistics, and daily climbing rates remain the decisive swing factors, with any delay from storms or health checks quickly redistributing implied odds across the narrow daily windows.
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10Data de Término
30 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly clustered probabilities around 40-41% across all time brackets and the “not completed” option underscore the high uncertainty surrounding Ant Middleton’s Everest summit attempt. As a former Special Forces soldier turned reality-TV personality, Middleton’s documented physical conditioning and mental resilience create a competitive baseline, yet Everest’s extreme weather windows, altitude acclimatization demands, and logistical variables introduce rapid momentum shifts that traders are pricing in real time. Recent tracking updates on his expedition’s progress, oxygen logistics, and daily climbing rates remain the decisive swing factors, with any delay from storms or health checks quickly redistributing implied odds across the narrow daily windows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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