Traders are assigning a 65.5% probability that UK government approval ratings will rise this week, driven primarily by the recent stability in YouGov tracking where Keir Starmer’s net favourability has held steady near prior levels despite Reform UK’s lead in voting intention polls. Parliamentary activity on routine legislation and continued policy rollout without fresh major controversies or economic shocks in the past several days appear to underpin this consensus. With no imminent high-profile votes, diplomatic summits, or agency announcements expected to alter the baseline before the weekly close, market pricing reflects expectations of modest positive fluctuation in public sentiment amid the broader low-approval environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUp
$250 Vol.
$250 Vol.
Up
$250 Vol.
$250 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders are assigning a 65.5% probability that UK government approval ratings will rise this week, driven primarily by the recent stability in YouGov tracking where Keir Starmer’s net favourability has held steady near prior levels despite Reform UK’s lead in voting intention polls. Parliamentary activity on routine legislation and continued policy rollout without fresh major controversies or economic shocks in the past several days appear to underpin this consensus. With no imminent high-profile votes, diplomatic summits, or agency announcements expected to alter the baseline before the weekly close, market pricing reflects expectations of modest positive fluctuation in public sentiment amid the broader low-approval environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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