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Keir previsões e probabilidades

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

93%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$32.6K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

15

Ends em 6 dias

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

44%

Petro - Colombia President

$279K Vol.

$138K today

$302K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$592K Vol.

$59.1K today

$186K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$353K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

100%

Xi Jinping

$477K Vol.

$187K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

93%

Elon Musk

$7.9K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 17 dias

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

67%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$96.0K Vol.

$67.1K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

46%

Angela Rayner

$0 Vol.

$211 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

77%

December 31

$23M Vol.

$1M today

$455K Liq.

1,460

Ends há 4 meses

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.3K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

22%

$9.1K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

<1%

Fed Rate Cut

$736K Vol.

$132K today

$168K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

Ends há 26 dias

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

93%

June 30

$132K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

54

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

19%

$1.3K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

57%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$427 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

34%

40-44

$480 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

83%

Covid

$65.2K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

14

Ends em 1 dia

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

37%

80-99

$4.5K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

24%

No Next PM in 2026

$6M Vol.

$280K today

$778K Liq.

78

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Keir.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Keir that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $32.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Keir predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.