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icon for Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?

Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?

icon for Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?

Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?

Sim

47% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

47% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Labour MP Josh Simons resigned his Makerfield seat on May 14, 2026, explicitly to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham—a former MP with deep local roots—to seek selection as the Labour candidate in the ensuing by-election, prompting Burnham's confirmation of his intent to request National Executive Committee (NEC) approval. Trader consensus tilts slightly to No at 54% amid hurdles including a potentially knife-edge NEC decision influenced by factional tensions, tight timelines for writ issuance and polling before June 30 resolution, and Reform UK's competitive challenge in this battleground constituency where Labour's majority has eroded. Swift NEC greenlight and Burnham's proven regional appeal could boost Yes odds, while delays, strong Reform turnout, or local backlash over perceived parachuting might solidify No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,930
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Labour MP Josh Simons resigned his Makerfield seat on May 14, 2026, explicitly to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham—a former MP with deep local roots—to seek selection as the Labour candidate in the ensuing by-election, prompting Burnham's confirmation of his intent to request National Executive Committee (NEC) approval. Trader consensus tilts slightly to No at 54% amid hurdles including a potentially knife-edge NEC decision influenced by factional tensions, tight timelines for writ issuance and polling before June 30 resolution, and Reform UK's competitive challenge in this battleground constituency where Labour's majority has eroded. Swift NEC greenlight and Burnham's proven regional appeal could boost Yes odds, while delays, strong Reform turnout, or local backlash over perceived parachuting might solidify No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,930
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?" is "Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.