Elon Musk's recent posting pace of roughly 20 tweets per day through mid-May has anchored trader sentiment around the 40-64 bucket for the three-day window starting May 18. Ongoing Tesla product updates, xAI developments, and routine engagement with followers continue to sustain this moderate volume without the spikes seen during major launches or controversies. Historical patterns show his output can dip below 15 per day during intense executive travel or trial-related distractions, keeping the sub-40 range as a live secondary option at 15.5%. With no high-profile events confirmed for the immediate period, markets price in a steady rather than accelerated cadence, reflecting bettors' assessment of his established rhythm amid competing business demands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 46%
65-89 28%
<40 15%
90-114 9%
NOVO
$23,949 Vol.
NOVO
$23,949 Vol.
20 mai 2026
<40
15%
40-64
46%
65-89
28%
90-114
9%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 46%
65-89 28%
<40 15%
90-114 9%
NOVO
$23,949 Vol.
NOVO
$23,949 Vol.
20 mai 2026
<40
$742 Vol.
15%
40-64
$1,916 Vol.
46%
65-89
$1,158 Vol.
28%
90-114
$4,348 Vol.
9%
115-139
$1,384 Vol.
3%
140-164
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,686 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$2,450 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,840 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent posting pace of roughly 20 tweets per day through mid-May has anchored trader sentiment around the 40-64 bucket for the three-day window starting May 18. Ongoing Tesla product updates, xAI developments, and routine engagement with followers continue to sustain this moderate volume without the spikes seen during major launches or controversies. Historical patterns show his output can dip below 15 per day during intense executive travel or trial-related distractions, keeping the sub-40 range as a live secondary option at 15.5%. With no high-profile events confirmed for the immediate period, markets price in a steady rather than accelerated cadence, reflecting bettors' assessment of his established rhythm amid competing business demands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$23,949Data de Término
20 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent posting pace of roughly 20 tweets per day through mid-May has anchored trader sentiment around the 40-64 bucket for the three-day window starting May 18. Ongoing Tesla product updates, xAI developments, and routine engagement with followers continue to sustain this moderate volume without the spikes seen during major launches or controversies. Historical patterns show his output can dip below 15 per day during intense executive travel or trial-related distractions, keeping the sub-40 range as a live secondary option at 15.5%. With no high-profile events confirmed for the immediate period, markets price in a steady rather than accelerated cadence, reflecting bettors' assessment of his established rhythm amid competing business demands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$23,949Data de Término
20 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskElon Musk's recent posting pace of roughly 20 tweets per day through mid-May has anchored trader sentiment around the 40-64 bucket for the three-day window starting May 18. Ongoing Tesla product updates, xAI developments, and routine engagement with followers continue to sustain this moderate volume without the spikes seen during major launches or controversies. Historical patterns show his output can dip below 15 per day during intense executive travel or trial-related distractions, keeping the sub-40 range as a live secondary option at 15.5%. With no high-profile events confirmed for the immediate period, markets price in a steady rather than accelerated cadence, reflecting bettors' assessment of his established rhythm amid competing business demands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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