Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.5% implied probability for Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla famed for his 2003 escape from Boston's Franklin Park Zoo, escaping again by July 31, driven by his advanced age diminishing agility, post-incident enclosure upgrades ensuring top-tier security, and 23 years without further incidents. The market, launched May 14 amid viral social media memes likening his impending controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding efforts to a blockbuster sports trade, reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism over uncontrolled breakouts during meticulous transport protocols. Realistic upsets could stem from rare transport glitches or adaptation hiccups in his new Pittsburgh habitat, though zoo expertise minimizes such risks ahead of the deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSerá que o Pequeno Joe vai escapar de novo?
Será que o Pequeno Joe vai escapar de novo?
Sim
NOVO
NOVO
31 jul 2026
Sim
NOVO
NOVO
31 jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.5% implied probability for Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla famed for his 2003 escape from Boston's Franklin Park Zoo, escaping again by July 31, driven by his advanced age diminishing agility, post-incident enclosure upgrades ensuring top-tier security, and 23 years without further incidents. The market, launched May 14 amid viral social media memes likening his impending controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding efforts to a blockbuster sports trade, reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism over uncontrolled breakouts during meticulous transport protocols. Realistic upsets could stem from rare transport glitches or adaptation hiccups in his new Pittsburgh habitat, though zoo expertise minimizes such risks ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$417Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.5% implied probability for Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla famed for his 2003 escape from Boston's Franklin Park Zoo, escaping again by July 31, driven by his advanced age diminishing agility, post-incident enclosure upgrades ensuring top-tier security, and 23 years without further incidents. The market, launched May 14 amid viral social media memes likening his impending controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding efforts to a blockbuster sports trade, reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism over uncontrolled breakouts during meticulous transport protocols. Realistic upsets could stem from rare transport glitches or adaptation hiccups in his new Pittsburgh habitat, though zoo expertise minimizes such risks ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Volume
$417Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.5% implied probability for Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla famed for his 2003 escape from Boston's Franklin Park Zoo, escaping again by July 31, driven by his advanced age diminishing agility, post-incident enclosure upgrades ensuring top-tier security, and 23 years without further incidents. The market, launched May 14 amid viral social media memes likening his impending controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding efforts to a blockbuster sports trade, reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism over uncontrolled breakouts during meticulous transport protocols. Realistic upsets could stem from rare transport glitches or adaptation hiccups in his new Pittsburgh habitat, though zoo expertise minimizes such risks ahead of the deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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