Skip to main content
icon for Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
Política·Estreito De Ormuz

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

icon for Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
Política·Estreito De Ormuz

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

$153,523 Vol.

31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$153,523 Vol.

Polymarket

May 15

$51,129 Vol.

2%

May 31

$102,399 Vol.

39%

Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's May 11 Fox News interview, where he signaled consideration of reviving Project Freedom—potentially as an expanded "Project Freedom Plus" within a broader military operation—dominates trader focus amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire talks over the Strait of Hormuz. Launched May 4 to escort merchant ships past Iranian disruptions but paused after 36 hours due to attacks and initial regional hesitancy, the initiative regained momentum May 7 when Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifted restrictions on US base access and airspace. Stalled diplomacy, Iran's rejection of a US proposal, and persistent shipping blockades keep escalation risks high, with upcoming negotiations or Iranian responses likely to sway restart decisions before key deadlines.

Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$153,523
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's May 11 Fox News interview, where he signaled consideration of reviving Project Freedom—potentially as an expanded "Project Freedom Plus" within a broader military operation—dominates trader focus amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire talks over the Strait of Hormuz. Launched May 4 to escort merchant ships past Iranian disruptions but paused after 36 hours due to attacks and initial regional hesitancy, the initiative regained momentum May 7 when Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifted restrictions on US base access and airspace. Stalled diplomacy, Iran's rejection of a US proposal, and persistent shipping blockades keep escalation risks high, with upcoming negotiations or Iranian responses likely to sway restart decisions before key deadlines.

Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$153,523
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 31" at 39%, followed by "May 15" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?" has generated $153.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?" is "May 31" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 15" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.