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icon for Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?

Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?

icon for Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?

Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?

Sim

1% chance
Polymarket

$1,268,383 Vol.

Sim

1% chance
Polymarket

$1,268,383 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming trader consensus against this outcome by May 31 reflects the absence of any established executive authority or precedent for unilaterally renaming an international waterway such as the Strait of Hormuz. Geographic designations of this nature typically involve coordination through multilateral bodies and affected coastal states rather than domestic executive action alone. Current priorities in the administration focus on legislative agendas, energy security, and regional diplomacy amid Persian Gulf tensions, with no recent statements, memoranda, or signals suggesting consideration of this measure. Even an unexpected directive would encounter procedural and diplomatic barriers under standard naming conventions, leaving limited realistic pathways for change before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,268,383
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming trader consensus against this outcome by May 31 reflects the absence of any established executive authority or precedent for unilaterally renaming an international waterway such as the Strait of Hormuz. Geographic designations of this nature typically involve coordination through multilateral bodies and affected coastal states rather than domestic executive action alone. Current priorities in the administration focus on legislative agendas, energy security, and regional diplomacy amid Persian Gulf tensions, with no recent statements, memoranda, or signals suggesting consideration of this measure. Even an unexpected directive would encounter procedural and diplomatic barriers under standard naming conventions, leaving limited realistic pathways for change before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,268,383
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?" is "Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Trump renomeia o Estreito de Ormuz para "Estreito de Trump" até 31 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.