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Geopolítica·EUA X Irão

US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmado até 31 de maio?

icon for US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmado até 31 de maio?
Geopolítica·EUA X Irão

US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmado até 31 de maio?

Sim

1% chance
Polymarket

$23,574 Vol.

Sim

1% chance
Polymarket

$23,574 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99% "No" for US confirmation of kamikaze dolphins by May 31, driven by explicit denials from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Caine during a May 5 press briefing amid Iran Strait of Hormuz tensions. Hegseth quipped he could neither confirm nor deny a US program but affirmed Iran lacks such capabilities, while emphasizing the US Navy's longstanding Marine Mammal Program trains bottlenose dolphins solely for non-lethal tasks like mine detection and swimmer interdiction—not explosive-laden suicide missions. Absent any leaks, official statements, or credible reporting in the past week, markets price in negligible risk; a dramatic shift would require verifiable Pentagon acknowledgment or leaked evidence before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.

Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.

Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,574
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99% "No" for US confirmation of kamikaze dolphins by May 31, driven by explicit denials from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Caine during a May 5 press briefing amid Iran Strait of Hormuz tensions. Hegseth quipped he could neither confirm nor deny a US program but affirmed Iran lacks such capabilities, while emphasizing the US Navy's longstanding Marine Mammal Program trains bottlenose dolphins solely for non-lethal tasks like mine detection and swimmer interdiction—not explosive-laden suicide missions. Absent any leaks, official statements, or credible reporting in the past week, markets price in negligible risk; a dramatic shift would require verifiable Pentagon acknowledgment or leaked evidence before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.

Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.

Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,574
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmado até 31 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Golfinhos Kamikaze dos EUA confirmados até 31 de maio?" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmado até 31 de maio?" has generated $23.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmado até 31 de maio?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmado até 31 de maio?" is "Golfinhos Kamikaze dos EUA confirmados até 31 de maio?" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmado até 31 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.