Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on ending the regional conflict, securing navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program, and addressing sanctions, with indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan since early 2026. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's May 14-15 participation in the BRICS summit in New Delhi underscored demands for confidence-building measures before further engagement, while US officials including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner continue advancing a proposed one-page memorandum of understanding. Iran recently signaled openness to a 30-day review period for operational details, though no direct high-level meeting has been confirmed since April talks in Islamabad stalled. These developments, alongside potential follow-up sessions in Geneva or Islamabad, shape trader focus on whether US or other representatives will hold verifiable discussions with Iranian counterparts before the May 31 deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$81,737 Vol.
Steve Witkoff
22%
Jared Kushner
21%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
2%
$81,737 Vol.
Steve Witkoff
22%
Jared Kushner
21%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
2%
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on ending the regional conflict, securing navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program, and addressing sanctions, with indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan since early 2026. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's May 14-15 participation in the BRICS summit in New Delhi underscored demands for confidence-building measures before further engagement, while US officials including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner continue advancing a proposed one-page memorandum of understanding. Iran recently signaled openness to a 30-day review period for operational details, though no direct high-level meeting has been confirmed since April talks in Islamabad stalled. These developments, alongside potential follow-up sessions in Geneva or Islamabad, shape trader focus on whether US or other representatives will hold verifiable discussions with Iranian counterparts before the May 31 deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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