Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism toward Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by May 31, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations amid fragile ceasefire talks following recent military escalations. Iran rejected a US proposal for a 20-year enrichment freeze just days ago, countering with a shorter 3-5 year suspension, while President Trump asserted confidence in a full halt without bridging the gap. IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at facilities like Natanz, despite limited damage from prior US-Israeli strikes. With no imminent diplomatic breakthrough signaled and key sticking points over enrichment rights and sanctions relief unresolved, traders price overwhelming barriers to resolution by the deadline, though surprise concessions could shift odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO Irã concorda em acabar com o enriquecimento de urânio até 31 de maio?
O Irã concorda em acabar com o enriquecimento de urânio até 31 de maio?
Sim
$604,081 Vol.
$604,081 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Sim
$604,081 Vol.
$604,081 Vol.
31 mai 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism toward Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by May 31, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations amid fragile ceasefire talks following recent military escalations. Iran rejected a US proposal for a 20-year enrichment freeze just days ago, countering with a shorter 3-5 year suspension, while President Trump asserted confidence in a full halt without bridging the gap. IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at facilities like Natanz, despite limited damage from prior US-Israeli strikes. With no imminent diplomatic breakthrough signaled and key sticking points over enrichment rights and sanctions relief unresolved, traders price overwhelming barriers to resolution by the deadline, though surprise concessions could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volume
$604,081Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism toward Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by May 31, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations amid fragile ceasefire talks following recent military escalations. Iran rejected a US proposal for a 20-year enrichment freeze just days ago, countering with a shorter 3-5 year suspension, while President Trump asserted confidence in a full halt without bridging the gap. IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at facilities like Natanz, despite limited damage from prior US-Israeli strikes. With no imminent diplomatic breakthrough signaled and key sticking points over enrichment rights and sanctions relief unresolved, traders price overwhelming barriers to resolution by the deadline, though surprise concessions could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$604,081Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism toward Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by May 31, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations amid fragile ceasefire talks following recent military escalations. Iran rejected a US proposal for a 20-year enrichment freeze just days ago, countering with a shorter 3-5 year suspension, while President Trump asserted confidence in a full halt without bridging the gap. IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at facilities like Natanz, despite limited damage from prior US-Israeli strikes. With no imminent diplomatic breakthrough signaled and key sticking points over enrichment rights and sanctions relief unresolved, traders price overwhelming barriers to resolution by the deadline, though surprise concessions could shift odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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