Stalled US-Iran negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program remain the primary driver of trader sentiment, with Iranian officials signaling continued resistance to any permanent halt in uranium enrichment. Recent counterproposals from Tehran have focused on delaying nuclear discussions until after addressing the Strait of Hormuz and ending hostilities, while offering only limited, temporary pauses rather than full cessation. Iranian statements have also included threats to enrich uranium to weapons-grade levels if military pressure resumes, underscoring the absence of concessions on core enrichment activities. These developments, amid ongoing internal divisions in Tehran and US demands for verifiable limits, align with the current 80.5% implied probability that Iran will not publicly agree to end enrichment by June 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO Irã concorda em acabar com o enriquecimento de urânio até 30 de junho?
O Irã concorda em acabar com o enriquecimento de urânio até 30 de junho?
Sim
$1,381,994 Vol.
$1,381,994 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$1,381,994 Vol.
$1,381,994 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Stalled US-Iran negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program remain the primary driver of trader sentiment, with Iranian officials signaling continued resistance to any permanent halt in uranium enrichment. Recent counterproposals from Tehran have focused on delaying nuclear discussions until after addressing the Strait of Hormuz and ending hostilities, while offering only limited, temporary pauses rather than full cessation. Iranian statements have also included threats to enrich uranium to weapons-grade levels if military pressure resumes, underscoring the absence of concessions on core enrichment activities. These developments, amid ongoing internal divisions in Tehran and US demands for verifiable limits, align with the current 80.5% implied probability that Iran will not publicly agree to end enrichment by June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,381,994Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Stalled US-Iran negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program remain the primary driver of trader sentiment, with Iranian officials signaling continued resistance to any permanent halt in uranium enrichment. Recent counterproposals from Tehran have focused on delaying nuclear discussions until after addressing the Strait of Hormuz and ending hostilities, while offering only limited, temporary pauses rather than full cessation. Iranian statements have also included threats to enrich uranium to weapons-grade levels if military pressure resumes, underscoring the absence of concessions on core enrichment activities. These developments, amid ongoing internal divisions in Tehran and US demands for verifiable limits, align with the current 80.5% implied probability that Iran will not publicly agree to end enrichment by June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,382,000Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled US-Iran negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program remain the primary driver of trader sentiment, with Iranian officials signaling continued resistance to any permanent halt in uranium enrichment. Recent counterproposals from Tehran have focused on delaying nuclear discussions until after addressing the Strait of Hormuz and ending hostilities, while offering only limited, temporary pauses rather than full cessation. Iranian statements have also included threats to enrich uranium to weapons-grade levels if military pressure resumes, underscoring the absence of concessions on core enrichment activities. These developments, amid ongoing internal divisions in Tehran and US demands for verifiable limits, align with the current 80.5% implied probability that Iran will not publicly agree to end enrichment by June 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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