Iran’s next presidential election remains scheduled for 2028 under the constitutional four-year term following Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of any official announcement or procedural steps toward an earlier vote, despite discussions in mid-2026 about aligning the contest with parliamentary elections set for late Iranian year 1406. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Guardian Council control candidate vetting and timing, and no leadership transition, major domestic unrest, or external crisis has materialized to trigger a snap election. Market pricing assigns low implied probability to balloting before late 2026 or early 2027, consistent with historical adherence to the regular cycle unless extraordinary circumstances intervene.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO Irã realizará uma eleição presidencial até...?
$767,367 Vol.
31 de dezembro
5%
$767,367 Vol.
31 de dezembro
5%
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s next presidential election remains scheduled for 2028 under the constitutional four-year term following Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of any official announcement or procedural steps toward an earlier vote, despite discussions in mid-2026 about aligning the contest with parliamentary elections set for late Iranian year 1406. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Guardian Council control candidate vetting and timing, and no leadership transition, major domestic unrest, or external crisis has materialized to trigger a snap election. Market pricing assigns low implied probability to balloting before late 2026 or early 2027, consistent with historical adherence to the regular cycle unless extraordinary circumstances intervene.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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